SAS Roundtable

SAS Roundtable

Online roundtable: 
Stress Testing and Scenario Analysis: How to stay ahead of climate risk and capital management
June 10 | 2pm HKT/SGT


Access climate risk content published by SAS

Thank you for joining us - here is a summary of the event findings for each breakout room

Breakout Room #1

  • The focus over the last 12 months has been on COVID19 stress testing and the implications for the Collective Provision as well as Climate Risk stress testing.
  • Many challenges with stress testing climate risk including time horizons, empirical data, geographic/sector variations and technological and social developments.
  • Need to understand your customer and how climate risk may impact their business model and thereby risk profile.
  • Focus is currently on physical risk. Little development on stress testing transitional risk.
  • More work required to consider integrated stress tests beyond credit/counterparty risk including, funding/liquidity, negative IR and non-financial risks.

Breakout Room #2

  • Stress test targets the implication of performance in 2-5 years and actions to be taken.
  • Review the portfolio and start mapping the number one risk exposure.
  • Banks should be looking at how climate events are affecting businesses and the risk due to weather patterns; if situations gets worse following climate events the banks need to make a decision on whether to support the business.
  • The primary challenge for modelling is the data that is required (examples of data needed are: carbon footprint, regulatory pressure).
  • With capital management there are different COVID impacts such as social distancing and hospitality and travel in the past year; this helps to determine how to best prepare for cash flow issues.